El futuro de la competición estratégica a través del ciberespacio

Abstract

This article analyses the main uncertainties about how strategic rivalry between states through cyberspace would evolve over the next five years. The following debates are addressed: a) The possible outcomes and time horizon of the race for technological supremacy in the field of Artificial Intelligence. b) To what extent will entrepreneurial freedom and private initiative continue to be viewed as the ideal environment in which scientific progress flourishes, or whether, on the contrary, it will be perceived as a strategic disadvantage c) The advantages and weaknesses of authoritarian political systems in promoting and capitalizing the technological innovation processes. d) The likelihood that the struggle for power and conflict in cyberspace will evolve progressively, or through a transformative event that instantly rearranges priorities.