Factores determinantes de las quiebras en microempresas

  1. Vázquez Cueto, María José 1
  2. Irimia-Diéguez, Ana 1
  3. Blanco Oliver, Antonio José 1
  1. 1 Universidad de Sevilla
    info

    Universidad de Sevilla

    Sevilla, España

    ROR https://ror.org/03yxnpp24

Revista:
Anales de ASEPUMA

ISSN: 2171-892X

Año de publicación: 2014

Número: 22

Tipo: Artículo

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Otras publicaciones en: Anales de ASEPUMA

Resumen

La pequeña y mediana empresa es uno de los principales motores de las economías europeas. De entre ellas, un alto porcentaje son microempresas las cuales generan la mayor parte del empleo. En la actualidad este segmento empresarial está sufriendo en mayor medida la situación de crisis financiera, con la consecuente elevación de la tasa de destrucción de las mismas. En este contexto, desarrollar modelos de quiebra específicos para este tamaño empresarial e identificar las variables con mayor poder explicativo constituye un reto. Aquí se aborda la cuestión llegando a ser un trabajo pionero en este campo, en tanto la metodología utilizada como en el sector al que se aplica, caracterizado por una elevada opacidad informativa. Partiendo de variables financieras y no financieras que han sido utilizadas con relativo éxito en el pronóstico de quiebra empresarial en general, tratamos de determinar cuáles de ellas están afectando en mayor medida a la microempresa. Para ello utilizamos una técnica no paramétrica de aprendizaje basada en los rough set, que aplicamos a una muestra de empresas del Reino Unido, con iguales porcentajes respecto a su situación de fallida y a su carácter familiar, por ser esta última característica un factor condicionante de los resultados.

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